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Our editors’ weekly take on humanitarian news, trends, and developments from around the globe.
On our radar
US and Iran edge closer to deal
The US and Iran reportedly reached a tentative ceasefire agreement on 28 May, with a draft deal extending their truce for 60 days and re-opening unrestricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. But US Vice President JD Vance later said that negotiators were still working through sticking points, and there was no deal as the Cheat Sheet went to press. The reported working agreement, which Iran has downplayed, would require the US to lift its blockade of Iranian ports and ease some sanctions on Iranian oil sales, leaving the issue of Iran’s nuclear programme for future negotiations. The talks come after renewed hostilities: US forces said they shot down five Iranian drones and struck a control station in Iran’s southern port city of Bandar Abbas on 25 May, while Kuwait intercepted Iranian missiles and drones fired toward its territory. Meanwhile, the US imposed new sanctions on Iran’s military oil trade, and it is ultimately down to President Donald Trump on whether or not to sign off on a final deal.
Israel pounds Lebanon despite ceasefire
While officials from Israel and Lebanon readied to meet at the Pentagon on 29 May, Israel stepped up its deadly bombing campaign and issued new mass evacuation orders across south Lebanon. Orders for people to leave the southern city of Tyre and its surroundings came only two hours before a statement from the Israeli army that it was attacking a Hezbollah headquarters in the area. The ramping up of displacement and hostilities from both sides is hitting Lebanese civilians hard: the number of people displaced is officially at over one million, a number that rises with each new order. Thirty-one people were reportedly killed in Lebanon on 26 May alone, including 14 people in one Israeli airstrike near Tyre. The UN recorded eight incidents that targeted healthcare between 21 and 25 May; Israeli attacks reportedly killed six paramedics in the span of 24 hours. All of this is during a supposed ceasefire, which officials agreed to extend on 15 May. With attention focused on the US and Iran, people in Lebanon are left wondering what happened to their truce, and if it will ever play out on the ground.
An appeal for peace to to fight Ebola
The head of the World Health Organization has appealed for a ceasefire in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s Ituri province, where Ebola is rapidly spreading. Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus’ 28 May statement said even a temporary truce would allow health workers through and save lives. “I urge you, I implore you: give us the space to help the people who need it most,” he said. Out of nearly a thousand suspected Ebola cases in the DRC and Uganda, over 220 people may have died, with the WHO warning that the outbreak could potentially be much larger. Meanwhile, a court in Nairobi has temporarily blocked the Kenyan government from allowing the US to set up a quarantine facility in the country for Americans suspected of exposure to the virus. The US is among a number of countries that have imposed Ebola-related travel restrictions and border closures, despite WHO advice to the contrary. For more on the Ebola outbreak, watch this useful video explainer from TNH Africa Correspondent and Editor Philip Kleinfeld.
Curb your enthusiasm: a UN80 progress report
The UN is nearing a pivot point for Secretary-General António Guterres’s self-reform agenda, known as UN80. A slightly opaque process had a more public airing on 28 May as the outgoing UN chief – Guterres finishes his term at year’s end – updated member states. Progress? It’s tough to boil down a 29-page report and 2.5-hour meeting in a paragraph, but this is a telling line: “Excessive optimism can only be self-defeating if the true objective is to strengthen the UN system rather than just to appear to be doing so.” Humanitarians will find familiar lines on “hyper-prioritisation” and UN relief chief Tom Fletcher’s reset. Here, the reset is repackaged as part of “The New Humanitarian Compact”, which touts a move toward integrating supply chains and data. Data responsibility aficionados might fixate on this point: the integration of ID systems for 80 million “beneficiaries”. Ultimately, deeper structural change is up to countries themselves – and so far, zero member states have offered up suggestions on things like agency mergers, Guterres notes.
Israeli leaders reaffirm plans to ethnically cleanse Gaza
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on 28 May that he had ordered the Israeli military to take over 70% of the territory of the Gaza Strip. “Let’s start with that,” he added. A day earlier, Israeli Minister of Defence Israel Katz said the government is planning for large numbers of Palestinians to leave the enclave “at the right time and in the right manner,” which rights groups say amounts to ethnic cleansing. Israeli leaders have repeatedly voiced their intent to remove the vast majority of the Palestinian population from Gaza. Last October’s ceasefire agreement left Israel directly in control of 53% of the enclave’s territory and called for the creation of an International Stabilisation Force (ISF) to pave the way for the withdrawal of Israeli forces. But implementation of all aspects of the agreement has stalled. As global attention has shifted elsewhere, Israel has created its own facts on the ground by progressively inching forward the so-called yellow line demarcating its area of control. More than 60% of Gaza’s territory currently falls within this line, and the Israeli military regularly kills and injures Palestinians in the vicinity of the shifting boundary.
Colombian mercenaries accused of atrocities in Sudan
Since 2024, the Abu Dhabi-based Global Security Services Group (GSSC) has hired hundreds of Colombian mercenaries, trained them in Emirati military facilities, and sent them to support Sudan’s paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, according to a 25 May report by Human Rights Watch. The rights watchdog said the mercenaries were in El Fasher in late 2025, when the RSF committed mass killings, rape, abductions, and looting. UN investigators have said the operation bore signs of genocide. The UAE and GSSC did not respond to HRW’s findings; the UAE has previously said its activities in Sudan are humanitarian. GSSC was founded in 2016 by a senior Emirati official with ties to Abu Dhabi’s ruling family, though it was sold to a new owner the following year. Sudan’s three-year civil war has left a severe humanitarian crisis, with millions displaced, hunger spreading, and aid access severely constrained. Both the RSF and Sudanese Armed Forces have been accused of war crimes.
Weekend read
And finally…
What the pope said about humanitarian crises and data
The headline news from the Vatican was Pope Leo XIV’s message to “disarm” artificial intelligence to safeguard humanity. There’s plenty of analysis on what the Pope hit and what he missed. But his nearly 38,000 word AI encyclical (essentially, a letter outlining the church’s perspective on a subject) also covered a lot more territory than what grabbed the main headlines. Warnings against autonomous weapons systems and his call for human accountability are core humanitarian issues. But the Pope also weighed in on his concerns about everything from peacebuilding (“relegated to a secondary role”), humanitarian law (“compromised”), protracted conflict (prevention is “tragically marginal”), and the crisis of multilateralism. There’s also a paragraph that frames data extraction – including in aid responses – as a new form of coercive control of populations: “Those who control the health data of entire peoples – often collected under the pretext of aid, research, or innovation – possess a structural leverage over the future, for they can shape needs and markets… They can also decide, before others, to whom medicines, investments, and protections will be allocated,” the Pope wrote.

Facts Only

The US and Iran reportedly reached a tentative ceasefire agreement on 28 May, extending their truce for 60 days and re-opening shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
US Vice President JD Vance stated that negotiators were still resolving sticking points, with no final deal confirmed.
The US shot down five Iranian drones and struck a control station in Bandar Abbas on 25 May; Kuwait intercepted Iranian missiles and drones.
The US imposed new sanctions on Iran’s military oil trade.
Israel intensified bombing in Lebanon, issuing evacuation orders for Tyre and attacking a Hezbollah headquarters, despite a ceasefire extended on 15 May.
Over one million people are displaced in Lebanon, with 31 killed on 26 May, including 14 in an airstrike near Tyre.
The UN recorded eight incidents targeting healthcare in Lebanon between 21-25 May, with six paramedics killed in 24 hours.
WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus appealed for a ceasefire in DRC’s Ituri province to combat Ebola, which may have killed over 220 people.
A Nairobi court blocked Kenya from allowing a US quarantine facility for Ebola-exposed Americans.
UN Secretary-General António Guterres updated member states on UN80 reforms, noting limited progress and no member state proposals for structural changes.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ordered the military to take over 70% of Gaza, while Defence Minister Israel Katz discussed plans for Palestinian displacement.
Human Rights Watch reported that UAE-based GSSC hired Colombian mercenaries to support Sudan’s RSF, implicated in mass killings and potential genocide in El Fasher.
Pope Leo XIV’s AI encyclical warned about data extraction in aid responses as a form of coercive control.

Executive Summary

The past week saw significant developments in multiple global humanitarian crises. In the Middle East, the US and Iran reportedly neared a tentative ceasefire agreement, though negotiations remain unresolved, with ongoing hostilities including US strikes on Iranian targets and new sanctions. Meanwhile, Israel intensified its bombing campaign in Lebanon despite a supposed ceasefire, displacing over a million people and targeting healthcare workers, raising questions about the truce's effectiveness. In Africa, the WHO urged a ceasefire in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s Ituri province to combat a rapidly spreading Ebola outbreak, while a Kenyan court blocked a US quarantine facility for Ebola-exposed Americans. The UN’s reform agenda, UN80, faced scrutiny as Secretary-General António Guterres acknowledged limited progress, emphasizing structural changes depend on member states. Israeli leaders reaffirmed plans to expand control over Gaza, with statements interpreted as ethnic cleansing by rights groups. Additionally, Human Rights Watch accused Colombian mercenaries, trained by a UAE-based firm, of supporting Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces in atrocities, including potential genocide in El Fasher. The Pope’s encyclical on AI also touched on humanitarian issues, warning about data exploitation in aid responses as a form of coercive control.

Full Take

The strongest version of this narrative highlights escalating geopolitical tensions and humanitarian crises, with credible reporting on ceasefire negotiations, military actions, and displacement. However, the framing of Israeli statements as "ethnic cleansing" without direct evidence of implementation risks oversimplification. The pattern of selective emphasis—such as focusing on Israeli actions in Lebanon while downplaying Hezbollah’s role—could reinforce a one-sided perspective (ARC-0024 Ambiguity). The Pope’s warning about data exploitation in aid responses is a valid concern but lacks concrete examples, potentially conflating legitimate aid practices with coercion (ARC-0043 Motte-and-Bailey).
Root causes include unresolved regional conflicts, power vacuums, and the weaponization of humanitarian narratives. The US-Iran tensions reflect broader proxy struggles, while Israel’s actions in Gaza and Lebanon suggest a paradigm of territorial control over diplomatic resolution. The Ebola outbreak underscores the collision of public health and conflict, where ceasefires are treated as tactical rather than humanitarian imperatives.
Implications for human agency are stark: civilians in Lebanon, Gaza, and Sudan bear the brunt of displacement and violence, while global actors prioritize strategic interests. The UN’s reform stagnation reveals a systemic failure to adapt, leaving vulnerable populations without structural support. Data exploitation in aid, as the Pope notes, could erode trust in humanitarian interventions.
Bridge questions: How might ceasefires be enforced when geopolitical actors treat them as negotiable? What evidence would change the assessment of Israeli intentions in Gaza? How can humanitarian data collection balance transparency with coercion risks?
Counterstrike scan: A coordinated influence campaign would amplify emotional framing (e.g., "ethnic cleansing") while omitting context (e.g., Hezbollah’s attacks). The actual content does not fully match this pattern, as it includes multiple perspectives, but the selective emphasis on certain actors warrants scrutiny.
Patterns detected: ARC-0024 Ambiguity, ARC-0043 Motte-and-Bailey

Sentinel — Human

Confidence

LIKELY_HUMAN (confidence: 0.15)

A tentative Iran deal, Israel’s escalation in Lebanon, and mercenaries in El Fasher: The Cheat Sheet — Arc Codex